Chapter 3 of 6

Gold and silver

What drives precious metals, and why gold is popular with intraday traders.

Gold is one of the most popular instruments for intraday traders: it moves a lot, it respects technical levels, and it trades nearly 24 hours. Silver follows gold in direction, usually with bigger percentage swings.

GoldReal interest rates rise↓ usually fallsUS dollar strengthens↓ usually fallsFear and geopolitical risk↑ usually risesCentral bank buying↑ usually risesInflation expectations rise↑ often rises
The main forces on gold. They often compete, so watch which one the market is focused on right now.

Why gold moves

  • Real interest rates: gold pays no interest, so when inflation-adjusted bond yields rise, holding gold costs more in lost income.
  • The US dollar: gold is priced in dollars; a stronger dollar makes it more expensive for everyone else.
  • Safe-haven demand: in wars, crises and market crashes, money flows into gold.
  • Central banks: large purchases by central banks have been an important source of demand in recent years.

Contracts and quotes

InstrumentSizeValue of a $1 move
Gold futures (GC)100 troy ounces$100 (tick 0.10 = $10)
Micro gold (MGC)10 troy ounces$10 (tick 0.10 = $1)
Spot gold / CFD (XAU/USD)Often 100 oz per lot; varies by brokerOften $100 per lot
Silver futures (SI)5,000 troy ounces$5,000 (tick 0.005 = $25)

Worked example

You buy 1 lot of XAU/USD (100 oz) at $2,350 with a stop at $2,342.

Risk = $8 × 100 = $800. A $20 move in your favour is worth $2,000. Gold often moves $20–40 in a day, so size carefully.

When gold is most active

Gold wakes up at the London open and is busiest during the London–New York overlap, especially around US data at 08:30 New York time. Asian sessions can be quieter, though Chinese demand and news sometimes move it there too.

Key takeaways

  • Gold is driven by real interest rates, the dollar, safe-haven demand and central bank buying.
  • Silver usually follows gold's direction with larger percentage swings.
  • A standard gold contract is 100 ounces: each $1 move is $100; micro gold is 10 ounces.
  • Gold is most active in London and the London–New York overlap.