Chapter 6 of 7

Trading psychology

Fear, greed, revenge trading and overconfidence, and where they come from.

Most traders know what they should do. The hard part is doing it with real money, after three losses, when the market is moving fast. Trading psychology is about understanding the forces that push you off your plan, and building habits and rules that hold anyway.

The common biases

BiasWhat it looks likeCounter
Loss aversionHolding losers too long, cutting winners too earlyStops and targets set before entry, then left alone
Revenge tradingJumping back in right after a loss to win it backA pause rule after any loss
Fear of missing out (FOMO)Chasing a move that already happenedOnly enter at planned levels; there's always another trade
OverconfidenceIncreasing size after a winning streakFixed risk per trade, whatever the recent results
Recency biasJudging a strategy on the last few tradesReview over 50–100 trades, not five
Confirmation biasOnly seeing evidence for the trade you wantWrite the case against the trade before entering

Tilt

Tilt is the emotional state where decisions are driven by frustration rather than the plan. It usually starts with a loss, often an unlucky one, and feeds itself. Most account-ending days are tilt days.

A lossFrustrationUrge to win it backBigger, rushed tradeBigger lossTiltThe fix: a hard rule that ends the session before the loop starts
The tilt loop. Each turn raises the stakes and lowers the quality of the decisions.

Practical defences

  • Rules that remove decisions: maximum trades per day, stop after two losses, no trading in the first minutes after a loss.
  • Small size: fear and greed grow with the amount at risk. If a loss makes your heart race, the position is too big.
  • Process goals: judge each day on whether you followed the plan, not on profit and loss.
  • Physical state: sleep, food and breaks matter. Tired traders take worse trades.
  • A journal: write how you felt before and after each trade. Patterns appear fast.

Key takeaways

  • Loss aversion, revenge trading, FOMO, overconfidence and recency and confirmation bias push traders off their plans.
  • Tilt is a loop of frustration and bigger, worse trades; most account-ending days are tilt days.
  • Rules that remove decisions, small size and process goals are the most reliable defences.
  • Journal your emotions alongside your trades to spot your own patterns.