Chapter 5 of 7

Delta and cumulative delta

Measuring aggressive buying against aggressive selling over time.

Delta condenses a footprint into one number per bar: aggressive buying minus aggressive selling. Cumulative delta (CVD) adds those numbers up through the session, giving a running total of who has been more aggressive.

Delta

Delta = volume traded at the ask − volume traded at the bid. A bar with 1,200 contracts bought at the ask and 800 sold at the bid has a delta of +400. Positive delta means buyers were more aggressive; negative, sellers.

Cumulative delta

Cumulative delta is the running sum of each bar's delta since a starting point, usually the session open. It is often plotted as a line below price. In a healthy uptrend, price and cumulative delta rise together.

PriceHigher high in priceDelta per bar and cumulative deltaCumulative delta: lower high
Bearish delta divergence: price grinds to a new high, but aggressive buying is weaker than on the previous push.
PriceCumulative deltaCommon reading
Higher highHigher highAggressive buyers driving the move; healthy
Higher highLower highBearish divergence: the push lacks aggression
Lower lowHigher lowBullish divergence: selling aggression fading
Flat or fallingRising stronglyBuying being absorbed by passive sellers; watch for a drop

Worked example

ES sweeps the previous day's high at 5,215. The sweep bar shows delta of +900, but price closes back at 5,211.

Heavy aggressive buying with no follow-through is absorption at a liquidity level: a classic confirmation of a sweep.

Key takeaways

  • Delta is aggressive buying minus aggressive selling for one bar.
  • Cumulative delta is the running total of delta through the session.
  • Divergence between price and cumulative delta shows a move losing aggression.
  • Big delta without price progress at a key level signals absorption.