Chapter 5 of 8

Trading around news

Whether to trade the release, wait for it, or stay out entirely.

High-impact news creates the biggest, fastest moves of the week. For some traders that's an opportunity; for most, it's the moment accounts get hurt. The key is to choose your approach before the release, not during it.

1. Quiet before2. Spike3. Settle4. Direction
The typical phases of a major release. The spike is the most dangerous part; the direction that emerges afterwards is often the most tradeable.

Three approaches

ApproachHow it worksSuitsRisks
Stay outBe flat a few minutes before and afterMost traders, and most prop firm evaluationsMissing the occasional big move
Trade the reactionWait for the spike to settle, then trade the structure that formsStructure and SMC/ICT tradersFalse starts in the settle phase
Trade the releasePosition before, or enter in the first secondsSpecialists with fast executionSlippage, spreads, whipsaws

Trading the reaction

  1. Mark key levels and liquidity before the release.
  2. Let the first 5 to 15 minutes play out. The initial spike often runs liquidity on both sides.
  3. Look for a structure shift after the spike, in the direction the data supports.
  4. Enter on the pullback, with normal size and a stop beyond the post-news swing.

Protecting open trades

  • Take partial profits or close before a release if you're in profit and don't want the risk.
  • A stop doesn't guarantee its price during news. Expect slippage, and size so a gap through your stop is survivable.
  • Don't widen stops into news to "give it room"; that turns a planned risk into an unplanned one.

Key takeaways

  • Decide before each release whether you'll stay out, trade the reaction, or trade the release itself.
  • The first seconds are a spike in both directions; the tradeable direction usually emerges afterwards.
  • Stops can slip during news; size so a gap is survivable and never widen stops into a release.
  • Check prop firm news rules; many restrict trading around high-impact events.