Chapter 8 of 10

RSI, MACD and Stochastic

The main momentum oscillators, divergence, and the traps of overbought and oversold.

Oscillators measure momentum: how fast price is moving and whether that speed is growing or fading. They are drawn in a separate pane under the chart and swing between fixed levels or around a zero line. The three you'll meet most often are RSI, MACD and the Stochastic.

RSI (Relative Strength Index)

RSI compares the size of recent gains with recent losses, usually over 14 candles, and scales the result from 0 to 100. Above 70 is traditionally called overbought, below 30 oversold.

Those labels are misleading on their own. In a strong uptrend RSI can sit above 70 for a long time while price keeps rising. A more useful reading: RSI holding above 40–50 in pullbacks suggests an uptrend is healthy, and holding below 50–60 in rallies suggests a downtrend is.

Divergence

Divergence is when price and the oscillator disagree. If price makes a higher high but RSI makes a lower high, the new high was reached with less momentum: bearish divergence. A lower low in price with a higher low in RSI is bullish divergence.

PriceHigher highRSI 147030Lower high
Bearish divergence: price pushes to a new high, but momentum is weaker than on the previous high.

MACD

MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) is the 12-period EMA minus the 26-period EMA. A 9-period EMA of that value is the signal line, and the gap between them is drawn as a histogram. MACD above zero means the shorter average is above the longer one, an upward bias. Crossovers of MACD and its signal line, and a shrinking histogram, show momentum changing.

MACD (12, 26)Signal (9)HistogramZero line in the middle
MACD calculated from a sample price series. Watch the histogram shrink before each crossover: momentum fades before it flips.

Stochastic

The Stochastic shows where the latest close sits within the high–low range of the last 14 candles, from 0 (at the low) to 100 (at the high). It has a fast line (%K) and a smoothed line (%D). Readings above 80 and below 20 are the usual extremes. It is quicker than RSI, which suits ranges but makes it noisy in trends.

IndicatorMeasuresScaleBest used for
RSI (14)Size of gains vs losses0–100 (70 / 30)Trend health, divergence
MACD (12, 26, 9)Gap between two EMAsAround zeroMomentum shifts, trend bias
Stochastic (14, 3, 3)Close within recent range0–100 (80 / 20)Timing entries in ranges

Key takeaways

  • Oscillators measure momentum in a pane below price.
  • RSI ranges 0–100; overbought and oversold readings are not sell or buy signals by themselves.
  • Divergence between price and an oscillator warns that a move is losing strength.
  • MACD shows momentum through two EMAs and a histogram; the Stochastic places the close within the recent range.