Chapter 6 of 10

Volume

What volume shows in centralised markets, and why it is unreliable in spot forex.

Price tells you where the market went. Volume tells you how much trading it took to get there. A move made on heavy volume has many participants behind it; a move on light volume can be pushed around easily and is more likely to fade.

What volume measures

Volume is the number of contracts, shares or coins traded during a candle. Most platforms show it as bars underneath the price chart, one per candle, often coloured to match the candle.

A catch for forex traders

Futures, stocks and crypto exchanges report real traded volume from a central order book. Spot forex has no central exchange, so there is no true total volume. What your forex broker shows is tick volume: the number of price changes in each candle. Tick volume tends to rise and fall with real activity, so it's a useful rough guide, but it isn't the real thing.

Using volume to confirm moves

  • Breakouts: a break through resistance on rising volume is more convincing than one on falling volume.
  • Trends: healthy uptrends tend to see higher volume on rallies and lower volume on pullbacks.
  • Exhaustion: a huge volume spike after a long move (a climax) can mark the end of that move, as the last buyers or sellers pile in.
  • Divergence: price making new highs on shrinking volume suggests fewer traders are willing to keep pushing.
Breakout on heavy volumeVolumeBreakout on light volumeVolumeHolds and follows throughFails back into range
Two breakouts from the same range. Volume on the breakout candle (highlighted) separated the one that held from the one that failed.
What you seeWhat it may mean
Price up, volume upHealthy buying; trend has support
Price up, volume downRally losing participation; be cautious
Price down, volume upStrong selling pressure
Huge spike after a long movePossible climax and reversal
Breakout on low volumeHigher chance of a fakeout

Volume is relative

Volume naturally rises at session opens and around news, and falls at lunchtime and in the Asian session. Compare a candle's volume with candles at the same time of day, or with a recent average, not with the candle right before it. In Module 7 you'll go further, looking at where volume traded with volume profile and order flow.

Key takeaways

  • Volume measures how much trading happened in each candle.
  • Spot forex shows tick volume, not true volume; futures such as 6E give real volume for major pairs.
  • Moves and breakouts on rising volume are more trustworthy than those on falling volume.
  • Judge volume against the same time of day or a recent average, not the previous candle.